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Last updated: Mar 1, 2026, 04:00 AM UTC·February 2026·Rev 1Sealed·Methodology →
Quick Stats
Full analysis

Total Funding

$36.5B

-23%

Deals

120

-56%

GenAI Adoption

1%

-46pp

Top Deal

Waymo

$16.0B

What Changed vs Previous Period

  • →Total funding fell 23% to $36.5B across 120 deals
  • →Deal count decreased 56% to 120 deals
  • →Average deal size rose 74% to $304M
  • →GenAI adoption fell 46pp to 1%
  • →Vertical Data Moats prevalence fell 79pp to 10%
  • →Agentic Architectures prevalence fell 55pp to 10%
  • →Series E share fell 48pp
  • →Series D share rose 46pp
View archive →

February 2026 Intelligence Brief

The AI Builder's Intelligence Brief

What $36.5B in AI funding reveals about where the industry is heading.

Generated: March 1, 2026

Executive Summary

February 2026 saw $36.5B deployed across 120 deals. The average deal size was $304M, with Waymo leading at $16.0B. GenAI adoption stands at 1%. Natural-Language-to-Code remains the dominant build pattern at 10% prevalence. Unknown captured 99% of funding.

Builder ActionsNext 7 days

Vertical Data Moats is declining (-79pp) — consider migrating to emerging alternatives.

Declining patterns signal ecosystem migration; reassess before lock-in costs rise.

Vertical Data Moats

Agentic Architectures is declining (-55pp) — consider migrating to emerging alternatives.

Declining patterns signal ecosystem migration; reassess before lock-in costs rise.

Agentic Architectures

Prioritize GTM depth in Unknown — it captured 99% of funding this period.

Funding concentration indicates where budgets and urgency are strongest right now.

Unknown

Information Technology & Enterprise Software share fell 72pp — stress-test demand assumptions before committing roadmap capacity.

Large negative share shifts can signal spending pullbacks or preference rotation.

Information Technology & Enterprise Software

Funding contracted 23% — extend your runway and prioritize unit economics.

Capital contraction rewards capital efficiency; unit economics become the investor pitch.

Dealbook
By the NumbersView all deals
MetricValuevs Prev
Total Funding$36.5B-23%
Total Deals120-56%
Average Deal Size$304.1M+74%
Median Deal Size$15.4M—
Largest Deal$16.0B (Waymo)—
GenAI Adoption Rate1%-46pp
This Month's Theme

The Natural-Language-to-Code Era

  • •120 deals totaling $36.5B in funding
  • •GenAI adoption at 1% across analyzed startups
  • •Natural-Language-to-Code leads at 10% prevalence
  • •Unknown leads sector funding with 99% share (+96pp vs prev)
  • •Median deal size: $15M
Pattern LandscapeFull signal analysis
PatternPrevalenceShiftStartupsSignal
Natural-Language-to-Code10%—8Niche at 10% — differentiation opportunity
Vertical Data Moats10%-79pp8Niche at 10% — differentiation opportunity
Agentic Architectures10%-55pp8Niche at 10% — differentiation opportunity
Micro-model Meshes9%-32pp7Niche at 9% — differentiation opportunity
Continuous-learning Flywheels9%-40pp7Niche at 9% — differentiation opportunity
Knowledge Graphs9%—7Niche at 9% — differentiation opportunity
RAG (Retrieval-Augmented Generation)9%-19pp7Niche at 9% — differentiation opportunity
Guardrail-as-LLM9%—7Niche at 9% — differentiation opportunity

#1 Signal

Natural-Language-to-Code

Niche at 10% — differentiation opportunity

#2 Signal

Vertical Data Moats

Niche at 10% — differentiation opportunity

#3 Signal

Agentic Architectures

Niche at 10% — differentiation opportunity

Vertical LandscapeExplore sectors

Top Verticals

VerticalFundingShareShiftStartups
Unknown$36.2B99%+96pp193
Information Technology & Enterprise Software$128.8M0%-72pp6
other$60.2M0%—4
Government & Public Sector$39.0M0%—1
Media & Entertainment$12.7M0%—2
Industrial & Manufacturing$4.0M0%-4pp1
Legal$3.0M0%—1
Financial Services$1.8M0%—1

Top Subverticals

AI/ML Platforms

Information Technology & Enterprise Software

$127.9M

68% share (-4pp)

GovTech

Government & Public Sector

$39.0M

21% share (+21pp)

Streaming & Content Platforms

Media & Entertainment

$11.0M

6% share (+6pp)

Supply Chain/Logistics Tech

Industrial & Manufacturing

$4.0M

2% share (+2pp)

AI Legal Assistant

Legal

$3.0M

2% share (+2pp)

FinTech (Payments & Banking)

Financial Services

$1.8M

1% share (+1pp)

Creators Economy/Platforms

Media & Entertainment

$1.7M

1% share (+1pp)

Data Management/Analytics

Information Technology & Enterprise Software

$840K

0% share

Market Landscape
Series D
$17.9B5 deals+46pp
Seed
$11.4B36 deals+28pp
Series A
$3.1B34 deals—
Series B
$2.2B15 deals-11pp
Series H
$1.1B2 deals—
Series E
$385.0M1 deals-48pp

The Insight: Late-stage dominates dollar volume (49%), but seed deals dominate count (36 deals). The market is bifurcating: mega-rounds for proven winners, active seed for exploration.

Top DealsView all companies
#CompanyFundingStageLocationVertical
1Waymo$16.0BSeries DMountain View, United States—
2AI Seed Trends$9.0BSeed—
3Wayve$1.2BSeries D—
4Sequoia$1.0BSeed—
5David Silver ex Deepmind$1.0BSeed—
6Cerebras Systems$1.0BSeries HSunnyvale, United States—
7Humanoid$935.0MSeries A—
8ElevenLabs$500.0MSeries DNew York, United States—
9MatX$500.0MSeries B—
10Build the Ultimate LLM Chip$500.0MSeries B—
Geographic Intelligence
RegionDealsTotal FundingAvg Deal
North America43$19.5B$453.0M
Unknown46$16.5B$359.7M
Asia13$243.8M$18.8M
Europe15$207.9M$13.9M
Oceania3$14.6M$4.9M

US Dominance

$0

California alone (0% of all funding)

Emerging Hubs

Investor Intelligence

Most Active Investors

InvestorDealsDeployed

Mega-Check Writers

InvestorInvestmentCompany
Capital Graph PulseExplore network

Most Connected Investors

InvestorStartupsLead Edges
Sequoia Capital66
Lightspeed Venture Partners55
Y Combinator55
Andreessen Horowitz44
Ant Group44
General Catalyst44
8VC33
CRV33

Most Connected Founders

FounderStartups
Dila Ekrem1
Duc-Trung Nguyen1
Giacomo Bruno1
Hakan Timur1
Mustafa Çakır1
Noah Morris1
Ozan Yurtsever1
Soner Abay1
Featured Spotlight
Waymo$16.0B Series DMountain View, United StatesUnknown

Waymo secured $16.0B in Series D, making it the largest deal this period.

Risk

Execution risk in a competitive market.

Key Takeaway

Watch how Waymo scales its core technology advantage.

Implications

1. Follow the funding signals

$36.5B deployed this period suggests strong investor conviction in AI infrastructure plays.

How to apply: Align your pitch with funded patterns — investors are validating these bets.

2. Pattern adoption matters

Natural-Language-to-Code at 10% adoption signals market readiness.

How to apply: Evaluate whether adopting leading patterns accelerates your time-to-market.

What We're Watching

  • →Monitoring deal flow velocity for early signals of market shifts
  • →Tracking Natural-Language-to-Code adoption trajectory
  • →Watching for new entrants challenging established players
  • →Observing geographic expansion of AI funding beyond traditional hubs
Read the full report in Deep Dives→